Question

In 2023 will WHO declare a new Global Health Emergency?

Resolved:No

7 comments7

Total Forecasters140

Community Prediction

(0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

64.0

Community Peer Score

15.9

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Dec 22, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2023

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 12, 2023

ACX 2023 Prediction Contest

Health & Pandemics

2022-2023 Leaderboard

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

66%

Will the WHO declare H5 avian influenza to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 2026?

When will the WHO announce that the COVID-19 pandemic has ended?

02 Mar 2027