31 comments
161 forecasters
Will OpenAI's ChatGPT be available for free public use on Jan 31, 2023?
99%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 99% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Dec 26, 2022
Closes:Jan 30, 2023
Resolved:Feb 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 26, 2022
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Will OpenAI offer ChatGPT in China before 2026?
1% chance
58
Will OpenAI release an open-source model that ranks in the top 35 of the Chatbot Arena leaderboard before October 2025?
20% chance
58