224 forecasters

Will a member of the United States Congress introduce legislation limiting the use of LLMs before January 1, 2024?

1%chance

1%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Dec 28, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2024

Resolved:

Jan 2, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 30, 2022

Regulation of AI

Artificial Intelligence

2022-2023 Leaderboard

Chatbot Investigation: FTC Probes OpenAI, Meta, xAI Over AI Chatbot Safety For Kids

Forbes•Sep 11, 2025

ChatGPT is being trained to flag suicidal youths to authorities following teen death, CEO announces

New York Post•Sep 11, 2025

A California bill that would regulate AI companion chatbots is close to becoming law

TechCrunch•Sep 11, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch