Question
How much will President Trump govern by decree?
Resolved:1.054144705Total Forecasters71
Community Prediction
0.928
(0.821 - 1.08)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 0.8213 | — |
| median | 0.9284 | — |
| upper 75% | 1.075 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >3 | 0.6% | — |
What was the final result?1.054144705
Community Baseline Score
60.9
Community Peer Score
16.2
Authors:
Opened:Sep 14, 2018
Closes:Jan 19, 2020
Resolves:Feb 2, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 15, 2018
Authors:
Opened:Sep 14, 2018
Closes:Jan 19, 2020
Resolves:Feb 2, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 15, 2018
