🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

How much will President Trump govern by decree?

Resolved :1.050.928
7
20
Total Forecasters71
Community Prediction0.928 (0.821 - 1.08)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>3
...
...
...
...
0.8213
0.9284
1.075
0.6%

What was the final result?1.05

Community Baseline Score
60.9
Community Peer Score
16.2
Authors:
Pshyeah
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2016-2020 Leaderboard
Presidency of George H. W. Bush
Woodrow Wilson
Federal Register
George W. Bush
Franklin D. Roosevelt
Donald Trump
List of executive actions by Donald Trump
Presidential directive
Ronald Reagan

Comments

? comments