Authors:
Opened:Dec 27, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolved:Mar 14, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 29, 2022
When will an AI model trained with the following orders of magnitude more compute than GPT-4 be released?
21 forecasters
When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
06 May 2027
(11 Nov 2026 - 29 Jan 2028)
06 May 2027
(11 Nov 2026 - 29 Jan 2028)
15 forecasters
When will an AI model trained with the following orders of magnitude more compute than GPT-4 be downloadable by the general public?
11 forecasters