🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

When will GPT-4 be announced?

Resolved :Mar 14, 20232023-03-18
20
17
Total Forecasters129
Community Prediction2023-03-18 (2023-03-13 - 2023-03-29)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2024-01-01
...
...
...
...
2023-03-13 17:35
2023-03-18 17:39
2023-03-29 01:34
0.8%

What was the final result?Mar 14, 2023

Community Baseline Score
10.4
Community Peer Score
4.3
Authors:
dschwarz
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Business of AI
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
2022-2023 Leaderboard
Machine learning
Linguistics
OpenAI
GPT2
Chatbot

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