Question
When will a fifth nation launch a person into space?
Total Forecasters72
Community Prediction
02 Mar 2030
(06 Sep 2026 - Sep 2035)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 06 Sep 2026 | — |
| median | 02 Mar 2030 | — |
| upper 75% | Sep 2035 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2099 | 1.3% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Sep 21, 2018
Closes:Dec 31, 2099
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2099
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 23, 2018
Authors:
Opened:Sep 21, 2018
Closes:Dec 31, 2099
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2099
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 23, 2018
