Question
When will a fifth nation launch a person into space?
Total Forecasters72
Community Prediction
04 Jun 2030
(01 Oct 2026 - Feb 2036)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 01 Oct 2026 | — |
| median | 04 Jun 2030 | — |
| upper 75% | Feb 2036 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2099 | 1.4% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Sep 21, 2018
Closes:Dec 31, 2099
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2099
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 23, 2018
Authors:
Opened:Sep 21, 2018
Closes:Dec 31, 2099
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2099
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 23, 2018