Question
When will North Korea first put a person in space?
Total Forecasters27
Community Prediction
Feb 2051
(Jul 2039 - >Jan 2060)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Jul 2039 | — |
| median | Feb 2051 | — |
| upper 75% | >Jan 2060 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Jan 2060 | 36.9% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 30, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2060
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2060
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 1, 2023
Authors:
Opened:Dec 30, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2060
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2060
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 1, 2023