Question
How old will the oldest living person be in 2100?
Total Forecasters180
Community Prediction
132 years old
(122 years old - 150 years old)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | 121.6 | — |
median | 131.8 | — |
upper 75% | 149.6 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>200 | 2.2% | — |
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Jan 26, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2099
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 27, 2023
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Authors:
Opened:Jan 26, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2099
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 27, 2023
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch