Question
How old will the oldest living person be in 2100?
Total Forecasters180
Community Prediction
132 years old
(122 years old - 150 years old)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 121.6 | — |
| median | 131.8 | — |
| upper 75% | 149.6 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >200 | 2.2% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 26, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2099
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 27, 2023
Authors:
Opened:Jan 26, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2099
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 27, 2023