Question
What will the Geopolitical Risk index be for 2023?
Resolved:118.88Total Forecasters32
Community Prediction
120
(108 - 128)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <30 | 0.2% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 107.8 | — |
| median | 120.1 | — |
| upper 75% | 128.4 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >300 | 0.3% | — |
What was the final result?118.88
Community Baseline Score
80.9
Community Peer Score
7.9
Authors:
Opened:Jan 14, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 16, 2023
Authors:
Opened:Jan 14, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 16, 2023