27 comments
31 forecasters
Will wild influenza B/Yamagata be declared eradicated before 2030?
29.7%chance
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 14, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 15, 2023
When will the World Health Organization report no detected polio cases (wild poliovirus) for an entire calendar year, for the first time?
6 forecasters
When will the WHO certify the worldwide eradication of Polio?
Nov 2032
(09 Dec 2029 - Feb 2038)
Nov 2032
(09 Dec 2029 - Feb 2038)
54 forecasters
Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?
63% chance
55