35 comments
68 forecasters
[Short Fuse] How many ballots will it take to elect the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress?
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jan 3, 2023
Closes:Jan 9, 2023
Resolved:Jan 7, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 4, 2023
Which party will hold a plurality in the US House of Representatives after the 2026 midterm elections?
442 forecasters
Will the Democrats control the House of Representatives at any point before Jan 3, 2027?
14% chance
21
Will the House of Representatives seat a legislator who was not certified as the winner of their election before July 1, 2027?
10% chance
124