Question

Will year-on-year core inflation in the United States exceed 6% for the year ending in December 2022?

Resolved:No

16 comments16

Total Forecasters120

Community Prediction

19.4%

(12.2% - 24%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 19.4%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Peer Score

18.1

Authors:

EvanHarper

Opened:

Jan 5, 2023

Closes:

Jan 12, 2023

Resolves:

Jan 12, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 6, 2023

🔰Q1 2023 Beginner Tournament 🔰

Economy & Business

2023 Leaderboard

Fed's preferred inflation gauge rose to 2.7% in May

New York Post•Jun 27, 2025

Inflation At 2.7% In May—Prices Still Under Pressure

Forbes•Jun 27, 2025

Core PCE inflation rises to 2.7% in May vs. 2.6% expected

•Jun 27, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States in the following years?

3.48

Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024?

45%

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

22%

Authors:

EvanHarper

Opened:

Jan 5, 2023

Closes:

Jan 12, 2023

Resolves:

Jan 12, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 6, 2023

🔰Q1 2023 Beginner Tournament 🔰

Economy & Business

2023 Leaderboard

Fed's preferred inflation gauge rose to 2.7% in May

New York Post•Jun 27, 2025

Inflation At 2.7% In May—Prices Still Under Pressure

Forbes•Jun 27, 2025

Core PCE inflation rises to 2.7% in May vs. 2.6% expected

•Jun 27, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States in the following years?

3.48

Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024?

45%

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

22%