Question

Will year-on-year core inflation in the United States exceed 6% for the year ending in December 2022?

Resolved:No

16 comments16

Total Forecasters120

Community Prediction

19.4%

(12.2% - 24%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 19.4%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Peer Score

18.1

Authors:

EvanHarper

Opened:

Jan 5, 2023

Closes:

Jan 12, 2023

Resolves:

Jan 12, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 6, 2023

🔰Q1 2023 Beginner Tournament 🔰

Economy & Business

2023 Leaderboard

CPI rose in June to 2.7% annual rate, highest since February

CBS•Jul 16, 2025

June 2025 Consumer Price Index Core +0.2% (Beating Expected) Producer Price Index +0.0% (Beating Expected) US Industrial Production +0.3% (Beating Expected) US Manufacturing Output +0.1% (Beating Expected

•Jul 16, 2025

U.S. Consumer Price Index (June 2025)

•Jul 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States in the following years?

3.48

Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024?

45%

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

23%

Authors:

EvanHarper

Opened:

Jan 5, 2023

Closes:

Jan 12, 2023

Resolves:

Jan 12, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 6, 2023

🔰Q1 2023 Beginner Tournament 🔰

Economy & Business

2023 Leaderboard

CPI rose in June to 2.7% annual rate, highest since February

CBS•Jul 16, 2025

•Jul 16, 2025

U.S. Consumer Price Index (June 2025)

•Jul 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States in the following years?

3.48

Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024?

45%

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

23%