70 forecasters

Democracy in Crisis: how many autocrats, strongmen and dictators in 2028?

Latest estimate

48

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Sep 18, 2018

Closed:

Jun 1, 2020

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 19, 2018

2016-2020 Leaderboard

Americans have 400 days to save their democracy | Timothy Garton Ash

Guardian•Sep 16, 2025

Here are 3 tactics Trump is using to wreck US democracy with 'uncommon early momentum': scholars

AlterNet•Sep 11, 2025

Map Shows Worldwide Fight Over Democracy

Newsweek•Sep 11, 2025

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