33 forecasters

Will high-impact research on reducing the sample complexity of Large Language Model pretraining be forthcoming before 2026?

59%chance

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Authors:

Opened:

Jan 7, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2027

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 9, 2023

AI Training and Compute

AI Technical Benchmarks

Artificial Intelligence

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