🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will an authenticated tape of Trump saying the n-word behind the scenes of "The Apprentice" surface before Election Day, 2020?

Resolved :No20%
5
Total Forecasters81
Community Prediction20% (15% - 29%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 20%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
68.1
Community Peer Score
6.3
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
AdamK
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2016-2020 Leaderboard
The Apprentice (American TV series)
Tom Arnold (actor)
Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer
Mark Burnett
Donald Trump

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