13 comments
25 forecasters
Will less than 75% of European Union imports of rare earth magnets originate in China in 2030?
30%chance
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Authors:
Opened:Feb 4, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2033
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 6, 2023
What will be China's share of rare earth production in 2030?
51.5%
(44.6 - 56.7)
51.5%
(44.6 - 56.7)
13 forecasters
What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?
62.6%
(53.4 - 71.6)
62.6%
(53.4 - 71.6)
31 forecasters
What will be the percentage change in the energy transition metal index for the value in December of the listed year relative to the value in December 2020?
28 forecasters