54 forecasters

Will former president Jair Bolsonaro be extradited back to Brazil before leaving the US?

1%chance

1%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Jan 10, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2027

Resolved:

Mar 30, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 10, 2023

Brazil ex-President Jair Bolsonaro briefly leaves house arrest for hospital visit

Associated Press•Sep 14, 2025

Marco Rubio: U.S. Will ‘Respond Accordingly’ to Brazil Jailing Jair Bolsonaro

Breitbart•Sep 12, 2025

What to know after Brazil’s Bolsonaro is convicted and sentenced for coup attempt

PBS NewsHour•Sep 12, 2025

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