Question

Will the statutory debt limit be increased or suspended for at least 30 days in the United States before 2024?

Resolved:Yes

13 comments13

Total Forecasters52

Community Prediction

99%

(98% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Peer Score

1.0

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Jan 21, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2024

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 23, 2023

Economy & Business

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Will there be a US government shutdown before the 2028 presidential election?

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Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

22%

Will the United Kingdom's long-term credit rating be downgraded below an A grade by 1 January 2030?

30%

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Jan 21, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2024

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 23, 2023

Economy & Business

2023 Leaderboard

This could be the summer of economic hell

CNN•Jun 30, 2025

Will The ‘Beautiful’ Bill Increase The Deficit?

Forbes•Jun 28, 2025

Target Hikes On Wall Street: S&P 500’s Next Leap?

•Jun 27, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a US government shutdown before the 2028 presidential election?

54%

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

22%

Will the United Kingdom's long-term credit rating be downgraded below an A grade by 1 January 2030?

30%