Question
When will the Democratic or Republican party nominee for US president receive fewer votes than a candidate not representing one of those parties?
Total Forecasters12
Community Prediction
Mar 2059
(Aug 2047 - >2100)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Aug 2047 | — |
| median | Mar 2059 | — |
| upper 75% | >2100 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2100 | 28.1% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 13, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 15, 2023
Authors:
Opened:Jan 13, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 15, 2023
