Question

Will anyone other than the Democratic or Republican nominee win a state in the 2028 US presidential election?

3
5
Total Forecasters18
Community Prediction
0.5%
(0.1% - 1%)

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50%
community: 0.5%
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Authors:
Cato
Opened:Feb 11, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2028
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2029
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 15, 2025
Politics