Question
When will the Sahm rule next imply recession in the US?
Resolved:01 Jul 2024Total Forecasters9
Community Prediction
26 Aug 2024
(07 Jul 2024 - 05 Feb 2025)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 07 Jul 2024 | — |
| median | 26 Aug 2024 | — |
| upper 75% | 05 Feb 2025 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Dec 2034 | 0.6% | — |
What was the final result?01 Jul 2024
Community Baseline Score
1.8
Community Peer Score
2.4
Authors:
Opened:Jan 18, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2034
Resolves:Dec 31, 2034
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 21, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Jan 18, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2034
Resolves:Dec 31, 2034
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 21, 2024