Question

Will 2019 be the warmest year on record?

Resolved:No

30 comments30

Total Forecasters232

Community Prediction

22%

(8% - 50%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 22%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

4.7

Community Peer Score

40.0

Authors:

greg-admin

Opened:

Sep 21, 2018

Closes:

Aug 1, 2019

Resolves:

Jan 16, 2020

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 22, 2018

Environment & Climate

2018-2019 Leaderboard

Carbon dioxide in Earth's atmosphere

Chemistry

Goddard Institute for Space Studies

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Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?

20%