30 comments
232 forecasters
Will 2019 be the warmest year on record?
22%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 22% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Sep 21, 2018
Closes:Aug 1, 2019
Resolved:Jan 16, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 22, 2018
Will 2025 be the warmest year on record globally, according to the ECMWF?
2% chance
631
Will the following years be the warmest year on record, according to NASA?
98 forecasters
Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?
20% chance
142