5 comments
18 forecasters
When will the US FDA authorize 1,000 AI/ML-enabled medical devices?
Current estimate
29 Jun 2025
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 22, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 24, 2023
When will the FDA approve a medical device with software that is wholly AI-generated, with no human involvement?
2034
(2031 - 2037)
2034
(2031 - 2037)
6 forecasters
When will AI independently prescribe the majority of medication in the U.S.?
Oct 2050
(Jul 2039 - Dec 2072)
Oct 2050
(Jul 2039 - Dec 2072)
24 forecasters
How many drugs will be approved by the FDA in 2035?
69.7 drugs
(42.3 - 117)
69.7 drugs
(42.3 - 117)
19 forecasters