Question
When will the US FDA authorize 1,000 AI/ML-enabled medical devices?
Total Forecasters18
Community Prediction
29 Jun 2025
(12 Nov 2024 - 01 Jun 2026)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 12 Nov 2024 | — |
| median | 29 Jun 2025 | — |
| upper 75% | 01 Jun 2026 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >31 Dec 2029 | 0.2% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 22, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 24, 2023
Authors:
Opened:Mar 22, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 24, 2023