Question
When will the first fully autonomous surgery or procedure be performed on a human?
Total Forecasters51
Community Prediction
Dec 2032
(02 May 2029 - Oct 2036)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 02 May 2029 | — |
| median | Dec 2032 | — |
| upper 75% | Oct 2036 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Dec 2049 | 1.8% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 22, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 24, 2023
Authors:
Opened:Mar 22, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 24, 2023