• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
64 comments
265 forecasters

Will there be a US government shutdown before January 1, 2024?

0.1%chance
0.1%chance
ResolvedNo
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 0% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:Jan 21, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolved:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 23, 2023
Politics
🏆 2023 Leaderboard
USA Today logo
This government shutdown is approaching historic lengths. Where does it rank?
USA Today•Oct 16, 2025
USA Today logo
Is the US government still shut down? Here's what we know on Thursday, Oct. 16.
USA Today•Oct 16, 2025
USA Today logo
Is the US government still closed? Here's what we know on Wednesday, Oct. 15.
USA Today•Oct 15, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US government shutdown end before November 1, 2025?

40% chance
59

When will Donald Trump sign a continuing resolution or omnibus spending bill averting or ending a government shutdown?

23 Oct 2025 04:36
(19 Oct 2025 00:30 - 27 Oct 2025)
23 Oct 2025 04:36
(19 Oct 2025 00:30 - 27 Oct 2025)
31 forecasters

Will the US government order the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) or NASDAQ to be closed before January 20, 2029?

10% chance
157
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature