18 comments
251 forecasters
Will Angela Merkel remain chancellor after the next German federal elections?
1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Sep 28, 2018
Closes:Oct 24, 2021
Resolved:Dec 8, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 29, 2018
Which party will lead the next German government?
8 forecasters
Will the Christian Democratic Union of Germany announce that it is open to negotiating a coalition with the Alternative for Germany before 2030?
20% chance
69
Will Rachel Reeves remain UK Chancellor of the Exchequer until December, 2025?
90% chance
56