MetaculusM

Question

Will Russia invade Kazakhstan before 2024?

Resolved :No

10

Total Forecasters194

Community Prediction0.1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

99.0

Community Peer Score

2.4

median 0.1%mean 0.4%

Authors:

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

United Nations Security Council

Dmitry Medvedev

President of Russia

Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

United Nations Security Council

Dmitry Medvedev

President of Russia

Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe