Group

How many level 2 or greater public charging stations will be available for light vehicles in the United States at the beginning of the listed year?

3 comments3

23 forecasters

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Year

median

(stations)

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Resolved

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CDF

	<30k	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>150k
community	0.1%	68.07k	70.05k	72.34k	0.1%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—	—

Lower bound	community	My Prediction
<30k	0.1%	—
Quartiles
lower 25%	68.07k	—
median	70.05k	—
upper 75%	72.34k	—
Upper bound
>150k	0.1%	—

What was the final result?69.642k

Community Baseline Score

90.5

Community Peer Score

50.2

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Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 19

2024

2025

2030

2035

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Jan 27, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2035

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2035

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How many states will have legally enforceable rules that are at least as stringent as Advanced Clean Cars II on January 1 of the following years?

15.1

What will be the estimated fleet average fuel economy (in mpg) imposed by a regulatory agency in the United States for light vehicles manufactured in the following years?

44.8

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Jan 27, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2035

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2035

Climate Tipping Points

Climate Tipping Points Round 1

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

2021-2025 Leaderboard

2023 Leaderboard

Three Mile Island Alert

•Jun 23, 2025

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•Jun 23, 2025

Highways and Horizons

•Jun 22, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the share of global light vehicles sold which are zero-emission vehicles in the following years?

26.6

How many states will have legally enforceable rules that are at least as stringent as Advanced Clean Cars II on January 1 of the following years?

15.1

What will be the estimated fleet average fuel economy (in mpg) imposed by a regulatory agency in the United States for light vehicles manufactured in the following years?

44.8