Question
Which percentage of Metaculus questions resolving from October 1st to December 31st 2018 (inclusive) will resolve positively?
Resolved:39Total Forecasters47
Community Prediction
44.7
(37.8 - 51.1)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 37.8 | — |
| median | 44.7 | — |
| upper 75% | 51.08 | — |
What was the final result?39
Community Baseline Score
61.5
Community Peer Score
9.8
Authors:
Opened:Oct 8, 2018
Closes:Nov 30, 2018
Resolves:Jan 21, 2019
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 8, 2018
Authors:
Opened:Oct 8, 2018
Closes:Nov 30, 2018
Resolves:Jan 21, 2019
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 8, 2018