🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Group

What will be the share of global light vehicles sold which are zero-emission vehicles in the following years?

10
5
26 forecasters

Make a Prediction

Yearresolution
Year25thmedian75th

PDF

CDF

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
43.28
53.54
66.67

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 23
Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Climate Tipping Points
Climate Tipping Points Round 1
Environment & Climate
Economy & Business
2021-2025 Leaderboard
International Energy Agency
Transport
Engineering
Energy
Plug-in hybrid
Zero-emissions vehicle
Environmental science
Battery electric vehicle
Hydrogen vehicle

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