18 comments
91 forecasters
Will there be another mass shooting in the U.S. (at least 20 casualties) by end of the year?
30%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 30% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Oct 6, 2018
Closes:Oct 31, 2018
Resolved:Nov 8, 2018
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 6, 2018
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By 2030, will at least 10,000 Americans die in a single year from a single conflict?
9.5% chance
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