Question
When will either the Democratic or Republican party in the US cease to exist?
Total Forecasters96
Community Prediction
Dec 2064
(Apr 2042 - >2075)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Apr 2042 | — |
| median | Dec 2064 | — |
| upper 75% | >2075 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2075 | 35.5% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 6, 2018
Closes:Nov 15, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Nov 15, 2075
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 6, 2018
Authors:
Opened:Oct 6, 2018
Closes:Nov 15, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Nov 15, 2075
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 6, 2018