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What percentage of Americans will be considered obese or overweight in 2030?

The obesity epidemic has been ravaging not just the United States but much of the world over the past 35-40 years. Critics of the current Dietary Guidelines point out that the emergence of the obesity epidemic coincided with new government advice to eat less fat and more carbohydrate. (In 2018, the U.S. government still mandates a low fat/high carb plan for all Americans over the age of 2, despite the fact that low carbohydrate diets have whalloped low fat diets in clinical trials.)

In any event, the origins of this disaster notwithstanding, things are clearly getting worse, year after year. Per a recent analysis in The Lancet (described here:)

An estimated 160 million Americans are either obese or overweight. Nearly three-quarters of American men and more than 60% of women are obese or overweight. These are also major challenges for America’s children – nearly 30% of boys and girls under age 20 are either obese or overweight, up from 19% in 1980.

Per a CDC report from a few years ago, in the United States:

Percent of adults aged 20 and over with obesity: 37.9% (2013-2014) Percent of adults aged 20 and over with overweight, including obesity: 70.7% (2013-2014)

What will the CDC report in 2030 look like? What percentage of Americans age 20 and older will be classified as overweight/obese (using the 2018 standards for what these medical terms mean)?


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