Question
When will the procurement and distribution of COVID-19 vaccines in the U.S. be managed by the commercial marketplace?
Resolved:03 Aug 2023Total Forecasters35
Community Prediction
26 Oct 2023
(03 Sep 2023 - >01 Jan 2024)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 03 Sep 2023 | — |
| median | 26 Oct 2023 | — |
| upper 75% | >01 Jan 2024 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >01 Jan 2024 | 25.6% | — |
What was the final result?03 Aug 2023
Community Peer Score
17.6
Authors:
Opened:Jan 30, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 7, 2023
Will the FDA approve a seasonal influenza vaccine for the 2025-2026 flu season before October 1, 2025?
37%
What will be the COVID-19 booster coverage for the 2025-26 season among the following groups in the US?
Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?
43%
Authors:
Opened:Jan 30, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 7, 2023
Will the FDA approve a seasonal influenza vaccine for the 2025-2026 flu season before October 1, 2025?
37%
What will be the COVID-19 booster coverage for the 2025-26 season among the following groups in the US?
Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?
43%