Question
When will the procurement and distribution of COVID-19 vaccines in the U.S. be managed by the commercial marketplace?
Resolved:03 Aug 2023Total Forecasters35
Community Prediction
26 Oct 2023
(03 Sep 2023 - >01 Jan 2024)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | 03 Sep 2023 | — |
median | 26 Oct 2023 | — |
upper 75% | >01 Jan 2024 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>01 Jan 2024 | 25.6% | — |
What was the final result?03 Aug 2023
Community Baseline Score
5.1
Community Peer Score
17.6
Authors:
Opened:Jan 30, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 7, 2023
Authors:
Opened:Jan 30, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 7, 2023