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Question

When will the UVA Biocomplexity Institute indicate at least 13 of Virginia's 35 health districts are in a "surge" trajectory?

Resolved :03 Sep 2023
Total Forecasters30
Community Prediction
31 Dec 2023
(08 Nov 2023 - 01 Jan 2024)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%08 Nov 2023
median31 Dec 2023
upper 75%>01 Jan 2024
Upper bound
>170406720000%49.5%

What was the final result?03 Sep 2023

Community Baseline Score
-35.5
Community Peer Score
45.3
Authors:
Opened:Jan 30, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 7, 2023

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