84 comments
286 forecasters
Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025?
0.4%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 0% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Feb 2, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolved:Aug 7, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 3, 2023