4 comments
34 forecasters
What will be Top500's #1 performing supercomputer as a multiple of the #500 performer in 2030?
Latest estimate
254
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Oct 18, 2018
Closed:Dec 31, 2024
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 20, 2018
What will be the speed (in FLOPS) of the fastest supercomputer on record in the following years?
69 forecasters
Will the mean year-over-year growth rate of the sum of teraflops in the TOP500 decline each 3-year period from 2025 to 2034?
47.2% chance
29
When will the first zetta-FLOPS performer appear?
May 2034
(21 Mar 2030 - Nov 2038)
May 2034
(21 Mar 2030 - Nov 2038)
30 forecasters