43 comments
422 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?
25%chance
5 pp this week
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 13, 2018
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 31, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 14, 2018
Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
25% chance
287
Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
7% chance
159
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nanotechnology failure-mode?
2% chance
182