Question
How many exoplanets will be confirmed by NASA by the end of 2030?
Total Forecasters5
Community Prediction
11.6k planets
(9048 planets - 13.2k planets)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 9048 | — |
| median | 11.61k | — |
| upper 75% | 13.21k | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >15k | 10.3% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Feb 18, 2025
Closes:Dec 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2031
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 22, 2025
Authors:
Opened:Feb 18, 2025
Closes:Dec 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2031
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 22, 2025