Question
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?
Total Forecasters279
Community Prediction
10%
(2% - 40%)
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 13, 2018
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jun 1, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 13, 2018
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Ragnarök Question Series: if a global climate disaster occurs by 2100, will the Earth's human population decline by 95% or more?
1%
Ragnarök Question Series: if a nuclear catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
5%
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?
23%
Authors:
Opened:Oct 13, 2018
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jun 1, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 13, 2018
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Ragnarök Question Series: if a global climate disaster occurs by 2100, will the Earth's human population decline by 95% or more?
1%
Ragnarök Question Series: if a nuclear catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
5%
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?
23%