279 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?

10%chance

The community sees this as a toss-up.

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Authors:

Opened:

Oct 13, 2018

Closes:

Jan 1, 2100

Scheduled resolution:

Jun 1, 2100

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 13, 2018

Ragnarök Series

Environment & Climate

Natural Sciences

Double Tipping Points: Agency Decay in the Climate-AI Nexus

Psychology Today•Sep 15, 2025

Polar Geoengineering Debate Rages as Climate Change Melts Ice

Scientific American•Sep 11, 2025

‘We’ve done it before’: how not to lose hope in the fight against ecological disaster

Guardian•Sep 11, 2025

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