Question

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nanotechnology failure-mode?

9 comments9

Total Forecasters181

Community Prediction

2.5%

(1% - 7%)

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50%

community: 2.5%

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Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Oct 13, 2018

Closes:

Jan 1, 2100

Scheduled resolution:

Jun 1, 2101

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 14, 2018

Fail-safes in nanotechnology

Ragnarök Question Series: if a nanotechnology catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

49%

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

28%

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?