9 comments
183 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nanotechnology failure-mode?
2%chance
Authors:
Opened:Oct 13, 2018
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jun 1, 2101
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 14, 2018
Ragnarök Question Series: if a nanotechnology catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
48% chance
83
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?
27% chance
434
Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
8% chance
161