MetaculusM

Question

Will Kevin McCarthy visit Taiwan in 2023?

Resolved :No0.1%

5

Total Forecasters70

Community Prediction0.1% (0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

48.7

Community Peer Score

19.2

median 0.1%mean 1.2%

Authors:

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Speaker of the US House of Representatives

Kevin McCarthy (California politician)

Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People's Republic of China

Legislative Yuan

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Speaker of the US House of Representatives

Kevin McCarthy (California politician)

Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People's Republic of China

Legislative Yuan